Fundamentals

Market Outlook

Your farm to market report. Click to see individual daily market reports. Market reports are updated daily, by 4:00 PM CST. Scroll to see all individual fundamental studies.

Corn

Daily corn commentary, marketing recommendations, and market outlook.

Corn Outlook

Soybean

Daily soybean commentary, marketing recommendations, and market outlook.

Soybean Outlook

Wheat

Daily wheat commentary, marketing recommendations, and market outlook.

Wheat Outlook

Livestock

Daily livestock commentary, marketing recommendations, and market outlook.

Cattle and Hog Outlook

Quick Studies

Cold Storage shows expected declines for beef and pork.

The latest monthly Cold Storage report counted 410.3 million lbs. of beef in frozen warehouses at the end of June. That was -11 million from the prior month. This was a steeper drop than the five year average of -5 for that month. Given lower production, that is reasonable and likely not market moving.

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Corn Sees Active Resistance

Light fund short covering may be continuing, strong exports, active resistance in the 420s

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Cattle weights lightly trim again.

Today's weekly release of the Actual Slaughter report detailed meat production statistics for the second week of July.

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Beef export struggle in recent weeks. Pork sales rebound.

Weekly beef export sales came to 13,383 tonnes last week. This was -37% vs. last year. Year to date sales are -7% vs. last year. Sales are on USDA's current goal of -7%. However, it must be noted the recent trend of -37%, -26% the week before and -16% the week before are lightly concerning.

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Wheat export sales cool for three weeks.

309,319 tonnes were sold in this week. The trade estimate was 300,000 - 625,000.

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Old crop soybean shipments near USDA's goal, new crop problems remain.

With shipping included Brazil generally has a price advantage for both old and new crop delivery.

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Corn shipments running slightly ahead of USDA's goal.

Weekly export sales today cover Fri 7/12 – Thu 7/18 activity. For near term delivery, with shipping included, the US and Brazil are near parity. For new crop the US has an advantage.

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GDP shows moderate growth better than expected.

The Bureau of Economic Analysis released its first estimate for the completed Q2 this morning. This will be revised again on August 29 and September 26.

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