Market Movers

Boxed Beef Seen Lower This Week

BB lower every day this week, futures trade appearing a bit more optimistic, no cash bids yet

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Heat Reduced In Extended Forecasts

Heat Reduced In Extended Forecasts

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Cash Trade Yesterday Slightly Better Than Expected

PM BB slightly lower, showlist -14,500, average cash trade yesterday slightly better than exp

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Model Runs Show a Drier Picture

Funds cover 11K shorts, morning maps drier than Friday, active cash selling expected

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Rain totals lowered in the 10 day outlook

Rain totals lowered in the 10 day outlook, some heat on day 8, solid exports yesterday

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Volatility Slows, Exports Expected Moderate to Poor

Volatility has slowed drastically since funds moved to the sidelines, exports expected at 1000K

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Funds Quiet, Trade Looks To Chinese Exports

Again some talk of small China buying, bean oil is still a factor to watch, funds quiet

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GTE remained unchanged at 68%, yesterday’s selling did not appear fund related

The GTE rating remained unchanged yesterday at 68%, trade expected it would be up 1%

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Wheat Production Seen Higher

Overseas wheat is picking up speed on its setback likely due to much stronger yield numbers out of Russia than expected, remember that in all the fear trade over the Russian crop there was one weather analyst out of Ukraine that expected almost no yield decline, that may now be accurate

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Heat Enters The Mix

The start of the 5 day warm/dry pattern is today before light rains days 6 - 10

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BB stepped back bringing in a whole new round of fear trade to cattle

Cattle are the most oversold compared to cash going back to December of last year, as of yesterday’s close futures were priced $9.50 under last week’s cash, obviously this means cash would now have to fall $9.50 just to catch up to what futures already have priced in right now

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Managed Money Approaches Record Short Position In Corn

Funds sold 59K, now short 337K or 99% of record, GTE +1% to 68%, Beryl rain totals increased

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Heat still in the forecast but not as extreme, limited pollination concerns

Heat still in the forecast but not as extreme, limited pollination concerns, crop report Friday

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Will Exports Bounce Back?

Exports will be expected to bounce back closer to a moderate level around 1050K today

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Boxed Beef Still Outperforms

BB still moving higher, some analysts looking for a BB pullback next week, no cash bids yet

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Corn Finds Bargain Buyers

A GTE decline of 2% may cause some bargain buyers to step in with light support like in overnight

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Funds Remain Heavily Short Heading Into July

Funds were sellers of 86K ahead of the report, now short 278K or 81% of record

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Focus Shifts To Report Day

Yesterday’s PM BB was choice +0.48 Select -0.16 packer BE at 198.76, packer cushion $8.21

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Wheat hits our downside target, harvest still active

HRW harvest continues to be highly active so we expect harvest pressure to continue for now

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Ethanol recovered last week to a solid 1057

Ethanol recovered last week to a solid 1057K and may be expected again near that level this week

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Corn Sees Lower Ratings

GTE down 3% at 69%, funds buyers of 21K, analysts anticipating acres +317K on Friday

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Weather Is Still Seen As Non Threatening

Corn – Weather maps still solid looking out 10 days, GTE could be lowered today

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Boxed beef still on the move higher

Yesterday’s PM BB was choice +2.17 Select +1.14 packer BE at 199.16, packer cushion $10.80

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Trade Expects Another Slow Week For Ethanol

Weather maps have moderate rains, some heat but not extreme, lower ethanol expectations

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Corn Finds Support, Beans Attention Shift To November

GTE down 2% to 72%, solid weather maps continue, support expected again near 440

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