For today’s report it is important to remember that current price levels for corn/beans factor in a
carryout increase while the analysts’ estimates here suggest a small carryout decline. This report could
set the tone/direction for grains over the next month. Also to note there is a Quarterly Stocks report
today as well.
Cattle – BB has now recovered to a supportive level, cash trades starting steady to +$0.50
↔ Yesterday’s PM BB was choice +2.82 select +3.00 packer BE at 176.48, packer cushion $3.93
↑ BB has now recovered to a level we can call truly supportive, lifting packer profits to $4
↑ Cash trades yesterday were steady to +$0.50 which is impressive given the showlist numbers
↔ If futures are going to see more upside there are 2 resistance areas that may be tough to break at
first: 1) Around the 172 area for Feb and 2) Recent highs in Feb at 173.25
↔ April will become lead contract next week, recent highs for that contract are 175.725
↔ Let’s keep using BB as our guide, it is working again telling us to exit shorts